Afghan President Hamid Karzai and US secretary of State Hillary Clinton (http://www.state.gov/)
The surge in love in Washington for Afghan President Hamid Karzai would have been amusing had it not been baffling. Of course, it can be both baffling and amusing simultaneously. So let’s go with amusingly baffling.
Here is the leader of a country the US regards as strategically crucial but whom they came precariously close to ousting or at least sidelining, now being feted as a greatly valued ally. The about turn is swift and incomprehensible. It is tempting to believe that all the recent ranting that Karzai indulged in, including wondering aloud whether he should join the Taliban, seems to have worked. He was allowed to bring his entire government with him, which is just as well because we know they are not needed in Kabul.
It is unlikely that anyone in the Obama administration would even acknowledge that there has been an about turn, let alone explain it, in the way Washington has now decided to deal with the Karzai government. There is no evidence that the state of affairs in Kabul has changed so dramatically that it has compelled the US government to reevaluate Karzai. The only conclusion I can draw is that the highest levels of the US leadership have recognized that it is better to coax Karzai than coerce him. It is a choice that has been forced on the US by Karzai’s caprice.
It is in this context that I am deeply skeptical about Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s warning that Pakistan would face “very severe consequences” unless it acted with greater resolve against jihadi groups operating in that country. It is unlikely to amount to much more than impotent rage.
“We want more, we expect more. We have made it clear that heaven forbid if an attack like this that we can trace back to Pakistan were to have been successful there would be very severe consequences,” Clinton said during an interview with CBS’s signature program ’60 Minutes’. When pressed to elaborate Clinton said, “I think I will let that speak for itself.”
Although on the face of it the comment is remarkably shorn of diplomatic tact and constitutes perhaps the most direct US threat to Pakistan, in practical terms there is nothing much that the Obama administration can do. Clinton’s comments are more venting of the Obama administration’s internal frustration than any foreshadowing of any well thought out action.
On the Karzai visit, there was an amusing aside to the welcome remarks made by Clinton during the meeting between the two sides in the Benjamin Franklin Room yesterday. She made a reference to the nascent Afghan cricket team and its potential to transform the Afghan civil society. Thank you, Madam Secretary for reading my blog entry on this subject a few days ago. On May 2, I wrote: ‘One always hesitates to offer a solution to the Afghan imbroglio but creating nationwide teams that compete in an Afghani league seems like a fine idea.’
“Now, before we begin, I might suggest that if we are searching for a model of how to meet tough international challenges with skill, dedication, and teamwork, we need only look to the Afghan National Cricket Team. For those of you who don’t follow cricket, which is most of the Americans, suffice it to say that Afghanistan did not even have a cricket team a decade ago. And last month, the team made it to the World Twenty Championships featuring the best teams in the world,” Clinton said.
The Afghan team, of course, crashed out of the world championship in the Caribbean but that is okay.